Download PDF by Kung-Sik Chan, Howell Tong: Chaos: A Statistical Perspective

By Kung-Sik Chan, Howell Tong

ISBN-10: 1441929363

ISBN-13: 9781441929365

ISBN-10: 1475734646

ISBN-13: 9781475734645

It was once none except Henri Poincare who on the flip of the final century, regarded that initial-value sensitivity is a basic resource of random­ ness. For statisticians operating in the conventional statistical framework, the duty of severely assimilating randomness generated through a in simple terms de­ terministic approach, known as chaos, is an highbrow problem. Like another statisticians, we now have taken up this problem and our interest as newshounds and contributors has led us to enquire past the sooner discoveries within the box. previous statistical paintings within the region was once generally con­ cerned with the estimation of what's occasionally imprecisely known as the fractal size. through the assorted levels of our writing, monstrous parts of the e-book have been utilized in lectures and seminars. those comprise the DMV (German Mathematical Society) Seminar software, the inaugural consultation of lectures to the quandary issues venture on the Peter Wall Institute of complex Stud­ ies, collage of British Columbia and the graduate classes on Time sequence research on the collage of Iowa, the collage of Hong Kong, the Lon­ don institution of Economics and Political technology, and the chinese language college of Hong Kong. we now have consequently benefitted significantly from the reviews and recommendations of those audiences in addition to from colleagues and pals. we're thankful to them for his or her contributions. Our certain thank you visit Colleen Cutler, Cees Diks, Barbel FinkensHidt, Cindy Greenwood, Masakazu Shi­ mada, Floris Takens and Qiwei Yao.

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Sample text

On the other hand, the correlation dimension may be altered if the first derivative of the transformation blows up to infinity somewhere on the attractor. jX) has an unbounded derivative. So, the correlation dimension of the tent map need not equal that of the logistic map. However, it can be shown by tedious calculation that the correlation dimension of the logistic map turns out to equal I! (Xt), t = 0,1,2, .... 6. Delay Coordinates and Dynamics Reconstruction 27 accurately the future values within a forecast horizon of the magnitude of the doubling time of the map.

In Chapter 2, we introduced the concept of an invariant probability measure for a dynamical system defined by a deterministic map. We now generalise the concept to the case of a Markov chain. A probability measure p is said to be a stationary (invariant) measure for the Markov chain {Xt} with transition probability P(x, A) if, for all Borel sets A, peA) = Is P(x, A)p{dx). 5) implies that the distribution of Xl is also equal to the invariant probability measure. Hence, by induction, all the marginal distributions of the Markov chain are identically equal to p.

So, the correlation dimension of the tent map need not equal that of the logistic map. However, it can be shown by tedious calculation that the correlation dimension of the logistic map turns out to equal I! (Xt), t = 0,1,2, .... 6. Delay Coordinates and Dynamics Reconstruction 27 accurately the future values within a forecast horizon of the magnitude of the doubling time of the map. In practice, the true state may not be observable, but instead we observe some function of the state. For example, we may observe Y = h(x}, where the map h is also known as the read-out map.

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Chaos: A Statistical Perspective by Kung-Sik Chan, Howell Tong


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